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Illuminate Methodology

How a readiness score is built

Every score in XTRIUM Illuminate — an outside-in estimate from public evidence or a company-completed assessment — uses the same 13 questions, the same six-level scale, and the same weights. This page is the public reference for that method.

Illuminate Methodology v1.0 · Last updated August 2026

What is measured — five dimensions

Critical-material readiness is decomposed into five dimensions. Each dimension carries a fixed weight in the overall score, reflecting how directly it drives disruption risk and customer-facing readiness expectations.

Material Traceability

25% of overall · 3 questions

Can you identify which critical materials are used, and trace them to program, product, and origin?

  • trc-1Can your organization identify which critical materials are used in its government or defense-related products?
  • trc-2Can you connect critical materials to specific products, programs, components, or bills of material?
  • trc-3Can you trace the country of origin and processing location for your highest-risk materials?

Supplier Illumination

20% of overall · 2 questions

How much visibility do you have beyond Tier 1 suppliers?

  • ill-1How much visibility do you have beyond your direct Tier 1 suppliers?
  • ill-2Do you maintain a documented supplier map for materials, components, processors, and key manufacturing locations?

Foreign & Geographic Exposure

20% of overall · 3 questions

Do you screen for foreign ownership, control, and geographic concentration risk?

  • for-1Do you screen suppliers for foreign ownership, control, influence, or high-risk geographic exposure?
  • for-2Can you identify where your supply chain is dependent on a single country, region, refiner, processor, or supplier?
  • for-3Do you have a documented process for reviewing changes in supplier ownership or control?

Alternative-Source Readiness

20% of overall · 3 questions

Do you have pre-qualified domestic or allied alternatives ready to substitute?

  • alt-1Do you have pre-identified alternate suppliers for critical materials and components?
  • alt-2Do you know which domestic or allied suppliers could replace high-risk sources?
  • alt-3Do you have documented mitigation plans for single-source or high-concentration dependencies?

Monitoring & Mitigation

15% of overall · 2 questions

Do you continuously monitor risk and maintain an auditable mitigation trail?

  • mon-1Do you continuously monitor geopolitical events, export restrictions, tariffs, shortages, price changes, supplier ownership, and regulatory developments?
  • mon-2Can you demonstrate what mitigation actions were considered, selected, rejected, or completed — with an auditable history?

The six-level answer scale

Every question is answered on the same maturity scale, worth 0–5 points. Some questions phrase the levels in context-specific wording, but the point value never changes.

PointsLevel
0Not started
1Informal or ad hoc
2Partially documented
3Implemented for priority programs
4Implemented enterprise-wide
5Continuously monitored & improved

Scoring & weighting

Dimension score (0–100)
dimension_score = round( points_earned / (questions_in_dimension × 5) × 100 )
Weighted overall (0–100)
overall = round( Traceability×0.25 + Illumination×0.2 + Foreign Exposure×0.2 + Alternatives×0.2 + Monitoring×0.15 )

Weights are fixed and are never re-normalized. A question with no supporting public evidence scores zero rather than being excluded, so a company with thin public disclosure scores lower than a company that documents the same practice publicly. That is deliberate: this is an outside-in view of what is publicly evidenced.

Nothing in a score is hand-set. When new evidence surfaces, the analyst moves the affected question to the level the evidence supports, records a one-line rationale with the source, and the dimension and overall recompute automatically from this formula.

Maturity levels

The overall score falls into one of six maturity levels. These describe where a company stands today, and are distinct from the four-step readiness journey (Assess → Illuminate → Improve → Monitor) that describes the work XTRIUM does with a company.

Stage 0 · React019

Risks are discovered only after a shortage, supplier failure, price spike, customer inquiry, or regulatory event.

Stage 1 · Assess2039

The organization understands its major readiness gaps and highest-risk dependencies.

Stage 2 · Illuminate4059

The organization connects critical materials, components, suppliers, ownership, and geographic exposure.

Stage 3 · Improve6074

The organization actively reduces identified risk and strengthens sourcing resilience.

Stage 4 · Monitor7589

Critical-material readiness becomes continuous instead of periodic.

Stage 5 · Optimize90100

Critical-material resilience becomes a source of operating advantage and customer trust.

Sources & evidence hierarchy

Outside-in estimates are built exclusively from public evidence, weighted by source quality. Every recorded answer carries a short written rationale citing its evidence class.

1
Regulatory filings & government recordsStrongest

SEC 10-K/10-Q, DPA Title III and DoD award records, USGS critical-material designations, government registries

2
Dated company disclosuresStrong

Press releases, investor materials, sustainability and supply-chain statements with dates

3
Corroborated third-party reportingModerate

Trade press, conference disclosures, customer or supplier statements naming the relationship

4
Indirect inferenceWeakest

Capability claims, job postings, facility registrations — used only to support, never to set a level alone

How missing information is handled

Absence of public evidence is not evidence of absence

A company that simply does not disclose is scored as absence of evidence for maturity — never as proof of immaturity. Where evidence is insufficient for a defensible estimate, the dimension — or the whole score — is published as “insufficient public evidence” rather than guessed, and a null dimension is excluded from the roll-up instead of scored as zero. This is why outside-in scores are labelled estimates, not audits.

Evidence confidence

Each estimate carries a confidence label describing how many independent sources corroborate it. Confidence is a quality signal only — it is not a multiplier and never changes the arithmetic.

High

Multiple independent sources corroborate the estimate, including at least one regulatory or government record.

Moderate

The estimate rests on dated company disclosures or consistent third-party reporting, with limited regulatory corroboration.

Limited

Public evidence is thin or indirect. The estimate is a directional read, not a firm position.

How we rate evidence quality

Alongside confidence, each company profile shows an evidence quality rating built from two things: the type of sources behind the estimate, and how much of the readiness model those sources actually cover. Like confidence, it is informational — it does not change the score.

Company filings & official documents

Annual reports and regulatory filings, supplier codes of conduct, conflict-minerals disclosures, published corporate policies. Strongest evidence: attributable, dated, and accountable.

Company-published web pages

Supplier portals, program pages, quality and compliance pages. Company-authored but less formal and rarely dated.

Third-party & news reporting

Trade press, agency reports, and databases. Useful corroboration, but weakest on its own — it reflects what was reported, not what the company committed to.

Coverage is the second half: how many of the 13 readiness questions are supported by cited evidence. A company is only published with at least six supported answers. A profile is rated Strong when at least two company filings or official documents back it and most of the model is covered, Moderate with partial coverage or fewer primary documents, and Limited otherwise.

Outside-in vs. company-verified

Illuminate keeps three score states separate. They are never merged, and a self-reported score never overwrites a published outside-in estimate.

Outside-In Estimate

Set by XTRIUM analysts from public evidence only. This is the figure shown in public views to entitled users.

Submitted Assessment

Self-reported answers from someone inside the company, run through the identical maths. Private to the company.

Company-Verified

A submitted assessment whose respondent is verified against an approved corporate email domain. Still private; provenance is upgraded, never the outside-in figure.

Self-reported scores usually run higher than outside-in estimates for the same organization, because internal practice is visible to the respondent but not disclosed publicly. That gap is itself informative: it quantifies how much readiness a company is failing to evidence externally.

Your company's data

  • Private company information — assessment answers, uploaded documents, member details — is never shown to other manufacturers or to intelligence subscribers.
  • Named company detail is visible only to verified members of that company, approved named-intelligence users, and XTRIUM analysts.
  • Your data is not used to train shared AI models by default.
  • Benchmark statistics are computed from anonymized aggregates only.

Corrections & disputes

If you believe an estimate is wrong

Estimates are updated when new evidence surfaces. If you represent a company in the index, you can verify your corporate email to see the detailed evidence behind your profile and propose corrections with supporting sources. Verified corrections are reviewed by an analyst, and every score change keeps an audit trail of old value, new value, reason, and evidence.

Look up your company

XTRIUM Illuminate provides decision-support and readiness insights from user-provided and publicly available information. Scores are outside-in estimates; they are not audits, certifications, or legal or compliance determinations.